Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.631619 0.706773 0.788292 0.883444 0.991658 1.111128 1.253325
2025-02-16 0.513885 0.616534 0.736883 0.889093 1.077431 1.304066 1.599299
2025-02-23 0.452947 0.569113 0.712572 0.904147 1.155350 1.476378 1.922273
2025-03-02 0.395158 0.514767 0.668632 0.883178 1.177922 1.573461 2.152629
2025-03-09 0.364054 0.489592 0.657027 0.899685 1.247352 1.735141 2.484949
2025-03-16 0.330617 0.456876 0.630572 0.890842 1.277640 1.841959 2.747625
2025-03-23 0.307827 0.436169 0.617859 0.898697 1.330631 1.984512 3.077979
2025-03-30 0.282746 0.409547 0.593648 0.886168 1.350077 2.076102 3.336399
2025-04-06 0.262816 0.388577 0.575535 0.880405 1.378142 2.182189 3.628908
2025-04-13 0.237704 0.357641 0.539573 0.842922 1.350731 2.193909 3.759351
2025-04-20 0.226233 0.346771 0.533591 0.852616 1.401278 2.339860 4.143139
2025-04-27 0.216260 0.337396 0.529031 0.863846 1.454830 2.495435 4.562678
2025-05-04 0.205529 0.326249 0.521107 0.869319 1.499996 2.642942 4.991017
2025-05-11 0.195254 0.315116 0.512363 0.872597 1.541558 2.788421 5.435872
2025-05-18 0.187988 0.308418 0.510444 0.887513 1.605537 2.982365 6.005526
2025-05-25 0.175415 0.291749 0.490051 0.866963 1.599991 3.039696 6.292452
2025-06-01 0.169767 0.286682 0.489567 0.883131 1.666940 3.248718 6.940566
2025-06-08 0.160808 0.275140 0.476631 0.874471 1.683377 3.355097 7.370440
2025-06-15 0.154911 0.268678 0.472411 0.882164 1.733545 3.537601 8.004378
2025-06-22 0.146719 0.257500 0.458681 0.869893 1.740756 3.627345 8.426343
2025-06-29 0.140000 0.248628 0.448675 0.864248 1.761405 3.748893 8.945347
2025-07-06 0.129874 0.232786 0.424393 0.827533 1.711125 3.703520 9.027958
2025-07-13 0.126035 0.228642 0.422433 0.837028 1.763995 3.903617 9.789894